Inflation or Stagflationary Deflation?

A quick look across the commodities pricing for the past one year reveals an inflationary picture. Source: Visualcapitalist.com This will certainly seem a lot given the returns posted here. Given that we have been through a pandemic induced supply shock and now a war like situation threatening additional supply sources, it is a general expectationContinue reading “Inflation or Stagflationary Deflation?”

Banking analysis-Analysis on RBL Bank and Yes Bank

While in our previous blog of Update on Estimated loss of 563 Crore to Mutual Fund for holding RBL Bank Share, lots of readers have requested us to give a detailed analysis on how to analyze a Banking company and what all aspects we should cover to understand Banking fundamentals. So in this blog, weContinue reading “Banking analysis-Analysis on RBL Bank and Yes Bank”

Update on Estimated Loss of 563 Crore to Mutual Fund for holding RBL Bank shares

Yesterday we has some information in relation to RBL Bank stating that the MD and CEO resigning and share tanking by more than 22% in a single day and RBL doing  concall in a hurry claiming its quality credit and growth aspects. Without going into deep analysis of RBL Bank, we will share you MutualContinue reading “Update on Estimated Loss of 563 Crore to Mutual Fund for holding RBL Bank shares”

Update on Indian Government Debt Position as on 17.12.2021

After having some great volatility in INR against dollar in past few months where Rupee saw levels of more than 76.50 in recent days, people are claiming that its all due to constant selling in stock market. FIIs are withdrawing money from stocks and all other stuff. But is it really due to stock marketContinue reading “Update on Indian Government Debt Position as on 17.12.2021”

Turkey Currency Implosion a debt bomb of 510 Billion Dollar-Country by Country Update on Debt

Since last many years, we have seen constant depreciation of Lira against dollar. While President is busy in firing all Central Governers and Deputy Governers, Lira is facing drastic plunge against Dollar and Turkeys Stock Market (Borsa Istanbul) saw two times circuit filter in a single day. Since last few months, Lira went to 17Continue reading “Turkey Currency Implosion a debt bomb of 510 Billion Dollar-Country by Country Update on Debt”

UPCOMING WRITE OFF OF CHINESE BONDS – WHY YEAR END QUARTER GIVES MORE CLEAR PICTURE THAN ANY OTHER QUARTER OF CALENDER YEAR 

Recently we came across news about various institutions writing off Investments in Evergrande Bonds and booking Billion-dollar losses. Similarly, BFAM booking annual loss of $4 Billion on Chinese Real Estate Credit bets. So all in all many entities are in line to Book losses like Ashmore, HSBC, UBS etc. Now let us emphasize why yearContinue reading “UPCOMING WRITE OFF OF CHINESE BONDS – WHY YEAR END QUARTER GIVES MORE CLEAR PICTURE THAN ANY OTHER QUARTER OF CALENDER YEAR “

Updates on Chinese Real Estate Developers Debt

While the new Corona variant is posing a threat to the global financial system with panic fall in global market along with fall in commodity prices. But to the contrary, fall in commodity prices should be considered as ease in inflation but the market took the same in opposite direction with blood bath. So canContinue reading “Updates on Chinese Real Estate Developers Debt”

Role of Yuan in Influencing value of Dollar

Overview As on date much has been talked about Evergrande and its contagion effects but how does contagion effect get triggered is the key point. While the whole media claims that “What happens in China remains in China” but the situation as on day is telling us different Scenario. Before going into depth of ContagionContinue reading “Role of Yuan in Influencing value of Dollar”

Reverse Repo Data

For last two months we have seen huge spike in Reverse Repo Market where in the size of reverse repo is touching trillion dollars and more daily. The charts attached below gives a eagle eye view of what is happening with this liquidity: The excess liquidity which Central Banks have created is now being parkedContinue reading “Reverse Repo Data”

Gamma Squeeze

The concept of short Squeeze is prevalent in market these days but the correct terminology to define this concept is Gamma Squeeze. Before describing the events of Gamma Squeeze, we need to emphasize on the real meaning of Gamma Squeeze. “Gamma Squeeze” as the term suggests is an outcome where investors using many options driveContinue reading “Gamma Squeeze”

The 4 Ds- Debt Deflation Demography and Default, Part II

Link to First Part: https://thefellowinvestor.in/?p=281 Demography The demographic dividend is the potential of economic growth that can result from shifts in a population’s age structure, mainly when the share of the working-age population exceeds the non-working-age share of the population. However, the world is aging at a faster rate than most can ever imagine. The USAContinue reading “The 4 Ds- Debt Deflation Demography and Default, Part II”