Role of Yuan in Influencing value of Dollar

Overview As on date much has been talked about Evergrande and its contagion effects but how does contagion effect get triggered is the key point. While the whole media claims that “What happens in China remains in China” but the situation as on day is telling us different Scenario. Before going into depth of ContagionContinue reading “Role of Yuan in Influencing value of Dollar”

Reverse Repo Data

For last two months we have seen huge spike in Reverse Repo Market where in the size of reverse repo is touching trillion dollars and more daily. The charts attached below gives a eagle eye view of what is happening with this liquidity: The excess liquidity which Central Banks have created is now being parkedContinue reading “Reverse Repo Data”

Gamma Squeeze

The concept of short Squeeze is prevalent in market these days but the correct terminology to define this concept is Gamma Squeeze. Before describing the events of Gamma Squeeze, we need to emphasize on the real meaning of Gamma Squeeze. “Gamma Squeeze” as the term suggests is an outcome where investors using many options driveContinue reading “Gamma Squeeze”

The 4 Ds- Debt Deflation Demography and Default, Part II

Link to First Part: https://thefellowinvestor.in/?p=281 Demography The demographic dividend is the potential of economic growth that can result from shifts in a population’s age structure, mainly when the share of the working-age population exceeds the non-working-age share of the population. However, the world is aging at a faster rate than most can ever imagine. The USAContinue reading “The 4 Ds- Debt Deflation Demography and Default, Part II”

The 4 Ds- Debt Deflation Demography and Default, Part I

We live in interesting times. On one hand, we are living in one of the most prosperous ages the earth has ever seen. The technological advancement is unparalleled in human history. Global wars have not been seen since last 75 years baring a few small localised wars. The global population is 7 billion plus strongContinue reading “The 4 Ds- Debt Deflation Demography and Default, Part I”

Investing in Tough Times

“Show me the incentive and I will show you the outcome” – Charlie Munger The past decade has seen many simple established investment phenomena been questioned. From negative interest rates to negative prices for crude, what was considered to be once a millennium events (six sigma events) have suddenly popped around the world all inContinue reading “Investing in Tough Times”

Automobile Industry- Going Into The Slow Lane

It is hard to escape the influence of Automobile Industry on Global economy. The impact of the auto market goes deep, with long supply chains and large consumption of raw materials like steel, iron, aluminium, plastic, glass, carpeting, textiles, computer chips, rubber and much more. In fact, the automobile industry is home to millions ofContinue reading “Automobile Industry- Going Into The Slow Lane”

Gold – Why the yellow metal is Shining

Whenever we speak about this yellow metal, a lot of the debates rage regarding its usefulness or the lack of it. Gold has been part of our daily lives for thousands of years. Been used primarily as an ornament material and for some centuries as a commodity money, gold has been the shining metal thatContinue reading “Gold – Why the yellow metal is Shining”

Analysis of the Current Economic Crisis

Part – I The world is going through a global economic crisis which is historic in nature. While the Covid-19 pandemic has certainly played a major role, it is by no means the only reason. It is our understanding that the economic crisis was in the making prior to the pandemic, as unrestricted credit growthContinue reading “Analysis of the Current Economic Crisis”