Currency Crisis – 2022

In our first two articles published on the blog( here and here), we had highlighted how fragile the global economy was with its constant need for stimulus and lack of demand drivers. It was informed that the dependence on the equity and debt markets would increase and stock market would become the economy as assetContinue reading “Currency Crisis – 2022”

EVENTS LOOMING AROUND IN INDIAN MARKET

In the time of rampant market volatility, it is difficult for everyone to clearly see the directions of market. With mere news related to war or no war, interest rate hike or no hike, etc market is showing volatility of more the 300 to 500 points upward or downward in a day’s time. The recentContinue reading “EVENTS LOOMING AROUND IN INDIAN MARKET”

Banking analysis-Analysis on RBL Bank and Yes Bank

While in our previous blog of Update on Estimated loss of 563 Crore to Mutual Fund for holding RBL Bank Share, lots of readers have requested us to give a detailed analysis on how to analyze a Banking company and what all aspects we should cover to understand Banking fundamentals. So in this blog, weContinue reading “Banking analysis-Analysis on RBL Bank and Yes Bank”

Update on Estimated Loss of 563 Crore to Mutual Fund for holding RBL Bank shares

Yesterday we has some information in relation to RBL Bank stating that the MD and CEO resigning and share tanking by more than 22% in a single day and RBL doing  concall in a hurry claiming its quality credit and growth aspects. Without going into deep analysis of RBL Bank, we will share you MutualContinue reading “Update on Estimated Loss of 563 Crore to Mutual Fund for holding RBL Bank shares”

Update on Indian Government Debt Position as on 17.12.2021

After having some great volatility in INR against dollar in past few months where Rupee saw levels of more than 76.50 in recent days, people are claiming that its all due to constant selling in stock market. FIIs are withdrawing money from stocks and all other stuff. But is it really due to stock marketContinue reading “Update on Indian Government Debt Position as on 17.12.2021”

UPCOMING WRITE OFF OF CHINESE BONDS – WHY YEAR END QUARTER GIVES MORE CLEAR PICTURE THAN ANY OTHER QUARTER OF CALENDER YEAR 

Recently we came across news about various institutions writing off Investments in Evergrande Bonds and booking Billion-dollar losses. Similarly, BFAM booking annual loss of $4 Billion on Chinese Real Estate Credit bets. So all in all many entities are in line to Book losses like Ashmore, HSBC, UBS etc. Now let us emphasize why yearContinue reading “UPCOMING WRITE OFF OF CHINESE BONDS – WHY YEAR END QUARTER GIVES MORE CLEAR PICTURE THAN ANY OTHER QUARTER OF CALENDER YEAR “

Updates on Chinese Real Estate Developers Debt

While the new Corona variant is posing a threat to the global financial system with panic fall in global market along with fall in commodity prices. But to the contrary, fall in commodity prices should be considered as ease in inflation but the market took the same in opposite direction with blood bath. So canContinue reading “Updates on Chinese Real Estate Developers Debt”

Local Government Financing Vehicle (LGFV) – How it helped fuel the Chinese housing bubble

In our previous blogs, we have written in detail about China’s real estate mess where we have described that how the crackdown on real estate sector can trigger contagion effect in the economy, its impact and then we further emphasised on Collateral Loan Obligation implosion. But somehow all those blogs are not complete if weContinue reading “Local Government Financing Vehicle (LGFV) – How it helped fuel the Chinese housing bubble”

Collateral Loan Obligation in China-Is it similar to Lehman?

CLO-Overview It is a form of securitization where payments from multiple middle sized and large business loans are pooled together and passed on to different classes of owners in various tranches. In short investors will have first claim on cash flows from the underlying loans. Eg: Suppose a Bank has advanced Loan to following persons:Continue reading “Collateral Loan Obligation in China-Is it similar to Lehman?”

Global Event Update- Evergrande

The global markets are on a high given the fiscal stimulus and central bank profligacy. Since March 20 fiasco, market is making daily new highs in less than one and a half year without caring about the events looming all around the globe. During this euphoria, certain markets too have entered into bearish zones. ButContinue reading “Global Event Update- Evergrande”

Indian Manufacturing – Impact of PLI Scheme

Asian economies have generally been a manufacturing base for most of the European & American consumers. China, Japan, South Korea, Thailand all have significant contribution of GDP from the manufacturing sector. India, on the other hand, generates 60% of its GDP from the service sector. Manufacturing has been stagnating in the range of 13% toContinue reading “Indian Manufacturing – Impact of PLI Scheme”