A typical business cycle involves the fed cutting rates in the downturn to prop the economy, capital flows in to veins of the economy and risk taking increases, the economy activity grows and then as rates start rising as demand for capital increases eventually leading to slowdown. All this happens through debt taken by theContinue reading “America’s $37 Trillion Trap: The Hidden Crisis Driving Tariffs, Debt, and Digital Reserves”
Category Archives: Uncategorized
Unknown Interpretation about Tariff
While President Trump announced some unprecedented Tariff globally against all imports from rest of the world but people are only expecting the roll back of tariff either through Trade negotiation or voluntarily by US considering the interest of Country. However, it is important to note that the seed for Trade war has started which willContinue reading “Unknown Interpretation about Tariff”
Japanese Currency Crisis
Corona Virus was the pin that pricked the bubble. The system needed liquidity to restore the confidence from slowing economy. The bazooka of liquidity that followed boosted the GDP numbers with record debt levels even in the most powerful First world country like “The USA”. The Fed played its role in printing money out ofContinue reading “Japanese Currency Crisis”
Dream Budget 2025-26 or over estimation
As a Fellow Investor Community, we always try to dig put data which is more supported by Financial numbers and least driven by market noise. Since 2020 it is our first time to write about budget and its realistic numbers. While everyone is gung-ho while stating it a “Dream budget” in terms of Capex ReductionContinue reading “Dream Budget 2025-26 or over estimation”
Flow of Capital after South Korean Political Turmoil
Korea is one of the few countries that has successfully transformed itself from a low-income to a high-income economy and a global leader in innovation and technology. The Korea office works with Korean partner institutions to help developing countries learn from Korea’s experience and expertise. But the recent development of Political Turmoil has created aContinue reading “Flow of Capital after South Korean Political Turmoil”
Global Markets – An update on current situation
Liquidity has been a robust tool to support various financial market post 1987 for Japan, Post GFC & Post COVID. Pre Covid, global economies and their central banks were sailing in the same boat. If deflationary environment was visible then the whole world was experiencing the same phase because the bazooka of liquidity was constantlyContinue reading “Global Markets – An update on current situation”
Debt threat from US REITS-The Next bubble in US market
People generally believe that fixed source of Income are better than variable source of Income. In this category, Deposits and rental sources are considered as safest source of Income. However, after Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Credit Suisse and Signature Global Bank, deposit holders are losing trust in Banking system but they are notContinue reading “Debt threat from US REITS-The Next bubble in US market”
Geopolitics and its impact on Global Economy
Global economy has never been the same since 2008. A decline in interest rates followed and maintained the channel that started in 1981. It seems a bottom has been reached in terms of rates and interest rates have been rising ever since. There are many factors for such a change in economic landscape. As economicContinue reading “Geopolitics and its impact on Global Economy”
Unrealized Losses of HTM and AFS of some major Banks
After the fiasco of Silicon Valley Bank due to the fire sale of 22 billion dollar causing 2 Billion dollar losses in Books, we tried to analyze the Unrealized losses of some Major Banks in USA. Tabular analysis is as under: Lets substantiate the unrealized losses of these Banks with available Annual report of 2022.Continue reading “Unrealized Losses of HTM and AFS of some major Banks”
Analysis of Current Maturities of Long Term Borrowings- Is it a debt trap?
After our recent post on Charges registered in Ministry of Companies Affairs and news of “ Adani Shelves $122 Million Bond sales” & “Adani Caling off FPO”, we further analysed why this FPO and Bond Sales are utmost necessary for the group and thereby we further analysed the Current Maturities of Long Term Borrowings ofContinue reading “Analysis of Current Maturities of Long Term Borrowings- Is it a debt trap?”
Had I been Adani?
A lot of questions have been raised regarding this group after the Hindenburg Report has been published asking 88 questions and with more than 100 page report by substantiating facts. Had I been Adani group, I would have disclosed my registered charges details created with banks in the form of CHG 4 and disclosed eachContinue reading “Had I been Adani?”
Bank of Japan-Self created Trap of 36 years
In last few days, we are seeing a lot of tweets about BOJ Bond buying programmes especially about a single day spike of $24 Billion Bond buying or exhausting 10 days quota of buying in one day. However, in spite of such large level of intervention, the Yield Curve Control (monetary policy action whereby aContinue reading “Bank of Japan-Self created Trap of 36 years”
The Fellow Investor 