Treasure of Insights & Research

Turkey Currency Implosion a debt bomb of 510 Billion Dollar-Country by Country Update on Debt

Since last many years, we have seen constant depreciation of Lira against dollar. While President is busy in firing all Central Governers and Deputy Governers, Lira is facing drastic plunge against Dollar and Turkeys Stock Market (Borsa Istanbul) saw two times circuit filter in a single day. Since last few months, Lira went to 17…

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Recently we came across news about various institutions writing off Investments in Evergrande Bonds and booking Billion-dollar losses. Similarly, BFAM booking annual loss of $4 Billion on Chinese Real Estate Credit bets. So all in all many entities are in line to Book losses like Ashmore, HSBC, UBS etc. Now let us emphasize why year…

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Local Government Financing Vehicle (LGFV) – How it helped fuel the Chinese housing bubble

In our previous blogs, we have written in detail about China’s real estate mess where we have described that how the crackdown on real estate sector can trigger contagion effect in the economy, its impact and then we further emphasised on Collateral Loan Obligation implosion. But somehow all those blogs are not complete if we…

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SREI-More than 35000 crores exposure for Banks

While Banking Index is making new high but people and Banks are missing some great exposure of SREI group. Lets look at the exposure on combined basis, individual Company basis and detailed individual basis: Combined Exposure of SREI Group S.No Name of Bank Amount in Crores 1 UCO BANK                    12,578.00 2 Axis Bank Limited…

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Reverse Repo Data

For last two months we have seen huge spike in Reverse Repo Market where in the size of reverse repo is touching trillion dollars and more daily. The charts attached below gives a eagle eye view of what is happening with this liquidity: The excess liquidity which Central Banks have created is now being parked…

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Update on China Debt

SAFE Releases China’s External Debt Data at the end of March 2021 Annexed table:China’s Gross  External Debt Position by Sector,End of March 2021 End of March 2021 End of March 2021 (Unit:100  million RMB) (Unit:100 million US dollars) General Government 26596 4047    Short-term 957 146      Currency and deposits 0 0      Debt  securities…

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Global Update – Part 3

List of bonds held by Blackrock in Chinese Real Estate and Financial Cos. This is a list of bonds having exposure to the Chinese real estate and financial markets. By Nishant Maheshwari, Vishal Vora Disclosure: This is for information only. Should not be considered as an investment advice.

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Global Update – Evergrande (Part 2)

We all know that major world economies are roiling in debt. Recently published figures indicate the global debt has reached 296 trillion dollars in the second quarter of 2021 (IIF Global Debt Monitor Sept 14, 2021). Debt to GDP ratio is now around 350%. What is interesting is that from 2014 to 2020, the Global…

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Global Event Update- Evergrande

The global markets are on a high given the fiscal stimulus and central bank profligacy. Since March 20 fiasco, market is making daily new highs in less than one and a half year without caring about the events looming all around the globe. During this euphoria, certain markets too have entered into bearish zones. But…

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Gamma Squeeze

The concept of short Squeeze is prevalent in market these days but the correct terminology to define this concept is Gamma Squeeze. Before describing the events of Gamma Squeeze, we need to emphasize on the real meaning of Gamma Squeeze. “Gamma Squeeze” as the term suggests is an outcome where investors using many options drive…

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The 4 Ds- Debt Deflation Demography and Default, Part II

Link to First Part: Demography The demographic dividend is the potential of economic growth that can result from shifts in a population’s age structure, mainly when the share of the working-age population exceeds the non-working-age share of the population. However, the world is aging at a faster rate than most can ever imagine. The USA…

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Investing in Tough Times

“Show me the incentive and I will show you the outcome” – Charlie Munger The past decade has seen many simple established investment phenomena been questioned. From negative interest rates to negative prices for crude, what was considered to be once a millennium events (six sigma events) have suddenly popped around the world all in…

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A Short Note on Silver

We have already discussed the importance of gold in the monetary system in our previous article. Platinum, Palladium, Gold and silver forms part of precious metal group. These metals are carefully selected owing to their properties. Most of them are precious because they are rare and serve some important function. Platinum for example is used…

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Investing Psychology

When it comes to achieving success in life, most people accept that hard work and luck with determination and courage to stick the course are most important factors. However, when it comes to investing these factors are rarely practised. Most people try to use their luck in full gear expecting to strike a gold mine…

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Effect of Abolishment of Dividend Distribution Tax

Previously, Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT) was payable by the Domestic Company on declaration, distribution or payment of dividend. However, Finance Bill 2020, proposed to abolish Dividend Distribution Tax, and has shifted the burden of taxability to the recipient of dividend Income i.e. the shareholder or Unit holder (in case Mutual Fund). Erstwhile Provision of the…

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