Treasure of Insights & Research
Crypto Market update-Tether-What is inside Tether and how transparent Tether is?
After the bloodbath.in crypto space, we came across with one news that Tether lost its peg against dollar. The whole crypto story is not over without Binance and Tether where Sale or Purchase transaction of crypto took place. https://crypto-anonymous-2021.medium.com/the-bit-short-inside-cryptos-doomsday-machine-f8dcf78a64d3 Original Link to post Tether Ltd. also says one Tether is worth exactly one US dollar.…
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PC Jewellers-Why noise of NPA when the account was NPA in FY 2021-22 itself
PC Jewellers announced that it made default of RS 3470 crore on 27.10.2022. Market was skeptical about banks actively involved in this Company. Lets starts the real analysis through some interesting fact and data. While analyzing the report of PC Jewellers we came through following observations: Observation: In page No 60 of Annual Report of…
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Bond Market & Volatility
The Black Swan is an interesting book and a concept. It includes an example of a Turkey which due to complacency and routine feels it is normal to be fed everyday and that process will continue forever. Until one day it is fed upon. Stability and complacency breeds instability. Throughout history the fallacy of man…
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Credit Suisse-The real stuff against all rumours
While the whole Financial experts of twitter are claiming different kinds of news about Credit Suisse which relates to probable failure of Bank. So before concluding whether Credit Suisse will be a real failure or not, let’s analyse new type of points which substantiate in detail about this Bank: Contingent Credit risks The following table…
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GLOBAL DEBT CRISIS-CAN THIS TIME BE DIFFERENT!
Disclosure: This article is for information only and should not be construed as a financial advice. In case you are interested in making a contribution to our writing, please do so in the following account: Account Number: 00000037522669317 Name: Rashi Maheshwari<br>IFSC Code: SBIN0030115
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Implication of Weaker Chinese Economy and Yuan on Global Economy
Since September 2021, we have written a lot about Chinese Real Estate problems along with Local Government Financiang Vehicle (LGFV) model of China. Since the same is talk of the wall street, we need to concentrate on future currency problem of China. We all are tracking movement in market on day-to-day basis. But the real…
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CHINA’S MORTGAGE DEBT DEFAULT- TRILLION DOLLAR RISK!
Day in and day out we have read that the Mortgage default in China has started but none of the article is able to give detailed explanation that why the borrowers are defaulting against loans. Not only borrowers but business loans defaults are also taking place in China. The only reason given at present is…
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Puttable Bonds of China-A new threat to Financial System!
Before starting with the detailed analysis of Puttable Bonds, we must learn what does Puttable Bonds actually means? A put bond is a bond with an embedded put option, giving bondholders the right, but not the obligation, to demand early repayment of the principal from the issuer or a third party acting as an agent…
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Analysis Fed’s latest Balance sheet to determine Quantitative Tightening by Fed
While the programme of Quantitative Tightening by FED has started wherein $47.50 billion of QT will happen each month starting from June to August 2022 wherein $30Billion per month will be from Treasury Securities and $17.50 billion per month will be from Agency Debt and Agency Mortgage Backed Securities. Though size of this QT is…
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Section 13(3) of Federal Reserve Act,1913-What does that mean for Economic revival?
Before starting with our Blog, lets analyse one important section from Federal Reserve Act,1913. Its Section 13(3) which states: “In unusual and exigent circumstances, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, by the affirmative vote of not less than five members, may authorize any Federal reserve bank, during such periods as the said…
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Indian Iron and Steel- What Exports really means for India?
On 22.05.2022, Indian Government increased exports duty on Export of Steel to 15% and for Iron ore the export duty has been increased to 50%. In case of Pellets the export duty has been increased to 45%. Post Corona times all commodities have bull run which crazily increased the margins of these companies. Such windfall…
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Start-up Bubbles- Why Mutual Funds are betting to give Exit to PE Participants?
Today when I saw newspaper, I saw Delhivery coming with IPO. When I saw twitter, I got to know that roughly 2346 crore have been raised from 64 Anchor Investors. Prominent names like Goldman Sachs, Amansa, Aberdeen, Tiger Global, Schroder and Baillie Giffors were international participants. Domestic Institutional funds like SBI, HDFC and ICICI are…
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HOUSING MARKET BUBBLE OF US,CANADA AND AUSTRALIA-2022
Source: BIS (Bank of International Settlement) Mortgage Rate Chart Household Debt and Credit Developments as on Q4 2021 The Total Mortgage debt is $10.93 Trillion at present. Flow into Serious Delinquency (90 days or more delinquent) Source: New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax – By Nishant Maheshwari & Vishal Vora Disclosure: The above article is…
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Japanese Yen- Silent Killer Development in Global Economy
One of the most interesting development happening in currency market currently is Depreciation in Japanese Yen. While the global media is focussed on probable economic impact of Russia-Ukraine war, effect of sanctions, supply chain shortage, energy crisis and many more such things The anticipated effect on Russian Rubel was very high but the same recovered…
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Update on Yield Inversion, Credit Default Swaps and Credit Spread-Sign of recession
Update on Yield Inversion On 16.03.2022, Fed announced rate hike of 0.25%. All of a sudden, we saw some huge action in Bond and equity market. While equity market cheered this move like there is no tomorrow and the Bond yields spiked all of a sudden. What was most awaited was the yield inversion. The…
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Currency Crisis – 2022
In our first two articles published on the blog( here and here), we had highlighted how fragile the global economy was with its constant need for stimulus and lack of demand drivers. It was informed that the dependence on the equity and debt markets would increase and stock market would become the economy as asset…
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Inflation or Stagflationary Deflation?
A quick look across the commodities pricing for the past one year reveals an inflationary picture. Source: Visualcapitalist.com This will certainly seem a lot given the returns posted here. Given that we have been through a pandemic induced supply shock and now a war like situation threatening additional supply sources, it is a general expectation…
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UKRAINE AND RUSSIA-GLOBAL EXPOSURE
While the western world is busy with sanction policies these days on Russia and Russian Stock Exchange historically had a nightmare over Putin’s diplomacy. With Russian Stock Exchange like Moex or RTSI falling like a pack of cards (Single day downfall of more than 30%) Russia banning trading in Stock Exchange, freezing asset prices of…
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EVENTS LOOMING AROUND IN INDIAN MARKET
In the time of rampant market volatility, it is difficult for everyone to clearly see the directions of market. With mere news related to war or no war, interest rate hike or no hike, etc market is showing volatility of more the 300 to 500 points upward or downward in a day’s time. The recent…
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WHY FED APPEARS CONFUSED?
It is not known to men what is good for them. I read that lines in school in my English textbook. I keep remembering that sentence every now and then. The Fed appears to have me recollect it. Since last many months we are hearing that Fed will hike interest rate 5 times while others…
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Banking analysis-Analysis on RBL Bank and Yes Bank
While in our previous blog of Update on Estimated loss of 563 Crore to Mutual Fund for holding RBL Bank Share, lots of readers have requested us to give a detailed analysis on how to analyze a Banking company and what all aspects we should cover to understand Banking fundamentals. So in this blog, we…
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